Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002146 0.002262 0.002385 0.002524 0.002680 0.002849 0.003047
2025-03-09 0.001934 0.002089 0.002261 0.002468 0.002712 0.002996 0.003356
2025-03-16 0.001838 0.002025 0.002240 0.002510 0.002847 0.003265 0.003839
2025-03-23 0.001759 0.001968 0.002216 0.002539 0.002961 0.003515 0.004337
2025-03-30 0.001671 0.001890 0.002157 0.002513 0.002997 0.003661 0.004714
2025-04-06 0.001581 0.001803 0.002077 0.002451 0.002972 0.003714 0.004957
2025-04-13 0.001519 0.001746 0.002029 0.002425 0.002991 0.003829 0.005319
2025-04-20 0.001428 0.001646 0.001921 0.002308 0.002869 0.003714 0.005257
2025-04-27 0.001390 0.001613 0.001898 0.002306 0.002912 0.003858 0.005695
2025-05-04 0.001375 0.001608 0.001911 0.002354 0.003032 0.004144 0.006490
2025-05-11 0.001343 0.001580 0.001890 0.002351 0.003074 0.004301 0.007067
2025-05-18 0.001330 0.001574 0.001900 0.002394 0.003191 0.004609 0.008128
2025-05-25 0.001292 0.001537 0.001865 0.002370 0.003202 0.004733 0.008815
2025-06-01 0.001250 0.001492 0.001818 0.002325 0.003174 0.004776 0.009308
2025-06-08 0.001237 0.001485 0.001826 0.002365 0.003296 0.005153 0.011153
2025-06-15 0.001221 0.001474 0.001826 0.002392 0.003398 0.005510 0.013378
2025-06-22 0.001192 0.001444 0.001796 0.002369 0.003405 0.005653 0.014884
2025-06-29 0.001156 0.001402 0.001748 0.002313 0.003344 0.005616 0.015448
2025-07-06 0.001130 0.001375 0.001720 0.002290 0.003343 0.005734 0.017145
2025-07-13 0.001084 0.001317 0.001645 0.002185 0.003176 0.005395 0.015518
2025-07-20 0.001068 0.001301 0.001633 0.002183 0.003211 0.005598 0.017959
2025-07-27 0.001064 0.001303 0.001646 0.002226 0.003341 0.006092 0.024463
2025-08-03 0.001048 0.001288 0.001634 0.002223 0.003378 0.006332 0.030121